Archive for the ‘Turkiye Issues’ Category

There is a great competition and hostility between England and France through the centuries. Hundred Years’ War had continued 116 years between of 1337-1453. After 1750, Seven Years’ War in North America was accepted as the first world war. United Kingdom defeated France in those wars.
The major war between England and France also is continuing in the last century in the Greater Middle East. France occupied Algeria in 1830, Tunisia in 1881 and Morocco in 1907 and succeeded in colonizing the politically and economically in these areas. France also invaded Egypt in 1898, but abandoned its position to the United Kingdom in 1882.
The greatest betrayal of England to France was on sharing of the Ottoman territories in the Middle East. France had occupied the Eastern Mediterranean, the region from Adana to Diyarbakir, Mosul, the coast of Syria and Lebanon according to Sykes – Picot Agreement with Great Britain.
However, France was completely eliminated by the United Kingdom at the end of First World War.
The Cold War between England and France in the process of the European Union is irrelevant.
While the United Kingdom was taking care of the Jews with the Balfour Declaration, France supported the Armenians living in Syria and Lebanon. These close relationships continue today. When France stand out in the construction of new Middle East especially in Libya and Syria, Britain took action. The United Kingdom strengthened relations with the government of Turkey and Islamist organizations in the Middle East. It makes peace among Hamas and Jordan to remove Hamas from Syria. Turkey and France were encountered by Britain by using Sarkozy and the Jews who move to penalize the denial of Armenian claims of genocide. The military cooperation between Turkey and France is blocked by the United Kingdom which wants to sign new military cooperation with Turkey. It is preparing for the invasion of Syria with Turkey without France.
In brief, the United Kingdom is trying to liquidate France from the New Middle East as heretofore. New colonies are shared after Arab revolts. However, the Policy of Zero Problems with Neighbors of Turkey goes toward a Policy of Zero Friendship.

We are expecting very important developments in Autumn in the Middle East. In fact, these developments linked with each other will follow sort order because of behind the negotiations.
Everyone knows that the primary goal of U.S. and NATO in the Middle East is Syria. Under the banner of the NATO, intervention to Syria is too close but there are several significant obstacles in front of the Western Alliance in this issue. The first of those is that Russia and China firmly opposes to an intervention order issued by the United Nations. In order to overcome this obstacle, the U.S. and NATO want to use Turkey’s trump card. If a provocation based in Syria will take you directly to Turkey, this military intervention can create compelling justification.
At this point, it is supposed what attitude of Turkey and the Turkish Army Forces is. Turkey definitely not participate in the operation to Syria directly pertain to its interests, while standing PKK terrorism and its resources in Kandil in Northern Iraq. An operation without Turkey to Syria will bring large risks and Iran and Hezbollah forces could lead into a hot conflict. Therefore, firstly opening of making operation to PKK and Kandil is necessary then Turkey joins intervention to Syria. The U.S. which opposed intervention by Turkey into northern Iraq Earlier; Now, It has dismissed the PKK in exchange for Syria. Therefore, Turkey may choose to clean a large easily the PKK presence in northern Iraq.
In this process, all events might not be requests of the United States and NATO plans. Syria was heated enough for a NATO intervention. If Turkey starts a comprehensive military action against PKK terrorism, waiting for it to end as soon as a more than two months is unrealistic. To clean the nest of terror in Kandil mountains will need a process will continue until early spring. The opposition of some countries particularly such as Germany, Russia against a long-term cross-border operation is loudly. In parallel to the struggle launched by the Turkish Armed Forces, this situation will increase risks more in aspect of internal security. It will be very difficult to control terrorism and insurgency movements In the Southeast and in major cities and just police forces may not be possible to achieve this.
In shortly, The new layout of the Middle East under the flag of the United States and NATO planning will bring chaos and conflict a lot more blood today. The main objective of the ongoing psychological operation on the Turkish Army Forces for many years was to give a new shape to Syria, Iran and the Middle East through the Turkish military. The United States of America which fails to take the internal balances of Turkey was unable to learn that the correct results can not be taken only military planning such as in Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya. It is not far probability that adding of new defeat alongside of the defeat of Afghanistan and Iraq for USA. Re-acceleration of terror in Iraq by Russia and Israel which fully disagree to the U.S. and Britain’s the Middle East plans shows that everything not to be achieved very easily. Breaking of Syria away from Russia and China may be very important for the United States and Great Britain but the future of power by the Islamist government in Syria is extremely contrary for Israel’s long-term plans.
In Autumn everyone is going to move their pieces, and It will increase the terror and chaos in Iraq, Lebanon, Jordan, Iran and Turkey along with Syria.
At this point, the direct subordination of Turkey and the Turkish Army Forces to NATO plans, it can lead to irreversible decline for our country. In this strategic process, Turkey should give first priority to clean up the PKK terrorism in Kandil mountains and after it should contribute to Syrian interference in a very carefully and limitedly.

Riots in the Arab world, turns kingdoms one by one. In this process, important countries for the United States are Syria, Iran, Libya and Yemen. We mentioned our evaluation on the Bahrain and Iran in a previous article. The United States which fears to support the rebellion in Iran because Bahrain situation, seems to give priority to Libya and Syria.

United State and Western targets are extremely clear in the Middle East. It is very difficult to establish long term relationships with countries dominated by a single person or a single party. Dictators’ policies and promises are not confident. Therefore, the relationships with governments which based the people and have good established on the West, will be long-term. Pentagon aims for the future are in that direction. It is no longer possible to stay for a long time in any country without support from the people. The U.S. has a very good course on Iraq and Afghanistan.

Turkey is thinking emotionally, because of ideological obsession instead of looking objectively at the events.

The United States is a very successful country about to extract lessons from mistakes. On the other hand, Turkey is thinking emotionally, because of ideological obsession instead of looking objectively at the events. Turkey’s opposition to the invasion of Iraq was correct and the results showed it. Today, Turkey which appears next to Gaddafi in Libya is making a big mistake. Everyone knows very well that Gaddafi is a dictator and standing with the police and army. And Arab Expert knows best that Gaddafi support for Islamist organizations all over the world with petro dollars. Gaddafi who gives free products to middle-class people such as Arab sheiks continues his sovereignty with charitable culture. However his children and followers have the authority to spend millions of dollars as they want.

Turkey is following a confused foreign policy in an effort to satisfy each side. Turkish government is fearing the reaction of the Arab world and Islamic organizations. Turkey policy on Libya will not satisfy nor Gaddafi who will go down, nor Arab sheiks, nor dissidents of Libya which come to power next. The end of this policy is loneliness, frustration and great economic harm. Because of the doubts of Turkey, France stepped in and has been the first emergency intervention. Following the decision taken by the United Nations, all control must be in NATO. If Turkey disabled NATO, it will be disabled too. Turkey will fail to find friends in the future in the face of similar dangers. This is very dangerous and a pro-islamic foreign policy.