ManazNet Türkce
Strategic Comments
Manaz’s Books at Amazon
Panoramio Pictures




Along with the month of Muharram, we can say that provocation would increase between Sunni and Shiite Muslims in the Middle East. A new defense strategy was developed by the West after the 1979 Iranian Islamic Revolution. Just over 1 year, we had seen was a battle lasting more than 8 years between Iraq and Iran. A Sunni Shiite conflict doesn’t happen in Iraq. Iran as well as increased activity in the Gulf countries and Iraq.
After September 11, the military interventions in Iraq and Afghanistan ended with failure in the long run.
Despite provocations between Sunnis and Shiites in many years did not occur a deep separation of sect in Iraq. Sunni and Shiite groups going to cooperate against the Kurds and the liberals who collaborate with the West.
The struggle using the Tajiks and other ethnic groups against the Taliban in Afghanistan did not reach the purpose of still. While westerners are looking this conflict at in terms of religious and ethnic groups but many groups in Afghanistan think the interests of the Christian in the basis of the conflict. Indeed, Pakistan which lives reflection of the conflict has the highest level of Western hostility. Many of the groups who oppose the Taliban, is helping the Taliban against the Western powers when it comes the point of prefer. Pakistan always sided with the Taliban against the West and will continue to this.

The two-faced policy of the United States and Britain which are Architects of this strategy emerges in the inner riots called Arab Spring. The support given to the Sunni Islamist groups in Tunisia, Libya and Egypt, was not given the Shiite opposition in Bahrain and Yemen. On the contrary, the forces of Saudi Arabian which is the financial supporter bloodily suppressed these rebellions.

The same game also is played Syria, stubbornly. The current Syria government which is pro-Russian belongs to minority Shiite Nusayri which accounts for 12% of the population. More than 60% of Syria consists from the Sunni groups. The only way to change management in Syria: a civil war between Sunnis and Shiites.
The separation of ethnic and religious policies carried out in Turkey in the last ten years serves to the same purpose: to increase feelings of resentment and hatred between ethnic and religious groups and to ensure a cultural divide before the physical division in next.
Anyone can predict that an air offensive against Iran by the United States and its allies would lead to a big fire in the coming years.

We also have to remind some states forgotten in this solicitation. Once upon a time, Germany which is the largest ally of Iran always remains its secret relationship with the Shiite groups in the region. It still has not abandoned its dreams of Iran and Mesopotamia which comes from the First World War. Also France has the nostalgic dreams about Syria and Lebanon.
Between these goals and dreams, The New Ottoman Strategy of Turkey will not go further than an adventure. The Pan-Islamist and Pan-Turkic policies which are supported by Germany against Britain for many years disintegrated the last Ottoman empire and its management who moving away from realism. Now, the Union policy of Sunni Islam which is supported by the U.S. and Britain is going to pervert Turkey to disaster. The ideals of equality, human rights and real democracy will be sacrificed to imperialist interests.

However, let us know that every desires of the West will not happen, as ever in the history. Of course, the repressive regimes in Iran and Syria will collapse one day. However, without becoming continuous internal conflicts for many years and losing life of hundred thousand people, Muslims…

Share

We know the Green Line which is founded by the leadership of the United States after the 1950s. There were many reasons of the Islamic Green Line that is thought based on religion as a shield against communism. The most important one of them was to keep away the Warsaw Pact from the oil regions. However more important one was the idea of re-making economic and military colonial command of the US-led the Middle East countries which liberated from European colonialism and occupation.
After Soviet disintegrated, the U.S. had the dream of World Domination alone also taking Britain and Israel. However, this dream did not last. After September 11, The U.S. has developed new strategies because of the economic and political losses. United States very well understood that not staying in these areas without local allies. Stepped in and a new project: The Great Middle East Project.
After that, It will be more accurate and understandable to say Light Green Line for The Great Middle East Project. The United States and Western colonial countries rapidly tumble into a deep economic crisis because of counteracting of weapons and industrial production of east countries in comparison with West countries. To halt this decline, new markets are needed quickly. And its address is only the Great Middle East where are Petro-dollars.
The most basic elements of the Light Green Line which aimed at controlling Islamic geography stretching from Morocco to Afghanistan:
1. To become the moderate and open societies to the West the Islamic societies tending radicalization. To support the moderate Islamist movements in the Middle East.
2. Interfering with political, military and psychological to the radical groups by counting an open threat for Islamic thought and the International Community (western interests). For this reason, to create the Joint Response Force with strategic Muslim allies.
3. To strengthen the Sunni political movements against Shiite political Islamist movements for consolidating the rule of the Gulf. To gain weapon market where the conflict environment. To prepare political, military and psychologically infrastructure of a big military intervention against Iran before 2015.
4. To give up on the pro-Israel policies for winning the Islamic societies in the Middle East and to help the establishment a Palestinian state in Gaza limited.
5. To carry out jointly the Light Green Line project with Turkey this is the most powerful Muslim country.
May add others to these targets of the United States and this Pentagon project.

Light Green Line Project that began from the 2000s carried out by political, military and psychological operations at great speed. However, there are major problems arising in practice. We can list these problems the following way:
1. England and France are looking different this project and Germany now can just observe carefully. Europeans that did not accept the leadership of Turkiye are falling upside down to the United States and are acting independently. Therefore, the power of NATO which is one of the most important foundations of this project is not available effectively.
2. The current Israeli government based conservative Jewish foundation which is extremely uncomfortable for supporting the U.S. to Islamist organizations. The dissidence continues between the U.S. and Israel which is approved its Zionist policies by Israel’s current population and the political majority.
3. The United States live in complete indecision in the process of reconstruction in countries such as Egypt, Tunisia and Libya. If the U.S. supports Islamist movements in these countries, it will lose the secular and pro-Western groups; But if it supports secular and pro-Western groups, it will be deprived the help of Islamist movements.
4. To show Turkiye as leader and example on Light Green Line will radicalize the two political movements in the Arab countries. Arab nationalism that is against the Turks between secular groups and pro-Sharia movements between Islamic groups will inevitably strengthen.
5. The ongoing economic crisis in the U.S. makes it hard to win the next election for Democrats. In fact, the Light Green Line Project’s owner is Conservatives. Whoever wins the elections, this project will continue for the survival of the United States. But some changes may be experienced in the players and the rules of the project.
The U.S. and the West are trying to blanch the color of Green Line project under the leadership of Turkiye. However, will not succeed in that. There is a false belief that if Islamist movements having power and capital, they will to become liberal. The upper structure can be partly become liberal and machiavellian philosophy but, their political Islamic ideas will not change easily. On the contrary, the successes which gained by the external supports will encourage them more and more and will ask uncompromising, brutal, and the radical policies.
In short, conflicts between secularists and religious people a long standing at Turkiye will spread the entire Islamic world. If Democracy is not the rationalism and the enlightenment, but is a culture of conflict, so to all of us get better Light Green Line Project of the United States.

Share

We are expecting very important developments in Autumn in the Middle East. In fact, these developments linked with each other will follow sort order because of behind the negotiations.
Everyone knows that the primary goal of U.S. and NATO in the Middle East is Syria. Under the banner of the NATO, intervention to Syria is too close but there are several significant obstacles in front of the Western Alliance in this issue. The first of those is that Russia and China firmly opposes to an intervention order issued by the United Nations. In order to overcome this obstacle, the U.S. and NATO want to use Turkey’s trump card. If a provocation based in Syria will take you directly to Turkey, this military intervention can create compelling justification.
At this point, it is supposed what attitude of Turkey and the Turkish Army Forces is. Turkey definitely not participate in the operation to Syria directly pertain to its interests, while standing PKK terrorism and its resources in Kandil in Northern Iraq. An operation without Turkey to Syria will bring large risks and Iran and Hezbollah forces could lead into a hot conflict. Therefore, firstly opening of making operation to PKK and Kandil is necessary then Turkey joins intervention to Syria. The U.S. which opposed intervention by Turkey into northern Iraq Earlier; Now, It has dismissed the PKK in exchange for Syria. Therefore, Turkey may choose to clean a large easily the PKK presence in northern Iraq.
In this process, all events might not be requests of the United States and NATO plans. Syria was heated enough for a NATO intervention. If Turkey starts a comprehensive military action against PKK terrorism, waiting for it to end as soon as a more than two months is unrealistic. To clean the nest of terror in Kandil mountains will need a process will continue until early spring. The opposition of some countries particularly such as Germany, Russia against a long-term cross-border operation is loudly. In parallel to the struggle launched by the Turkish Armed Forces, this situation will increase risks more in aspect of internal security. It will be very difficult to control terrorism and insurgency movements In the Southeast and in major cities and just police forces may not be possible to achieve this.
In shortly, The new layout of the Middle East under the flag of the United States and NATO planning will bring chaos and conflict a lot more blood today. The main objective of the ongoing psychological operation on the Turkish Army Forces for many years was to give a new shape to Syria, Iran and the Middle East through the Turkish military. The United States of America which fails to take the internal balances of Turkey was unable to learn that the correct results can not be taken only military planning such as in Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya. It is not far probability that adding of new defeat alongside of the defeat of Afghanistan and Iraq for USA. Re-acceleration of terror in Iraq by Russia and Israel which fully disagree to the U.S. and Britain’s the Middle East plans shows that everything not to be achieved very easily. Breaking of Syria away from Russia and China may be very important for the United States and Great Britain but the future of power by the Islamist government in Syria is extremely contrary for Israel’s long-term plans.
In Autumn everyone is going to move their pieces, and It will increase the terror and chaos in Iraq, Lebanon, Jordan, Iran and Turkey along with Syria.
At this point, the direct subordination of Turkey and the Turkish Army Forces to NATO plans, it can lead to irreversible decline for our country. In this strategic process, Turkey should give first priority to clean up the PKK terrorism in Kandil mountains and after it should contribute to Syrian interference in a very carefully and limitedly.

Share
Get Adobe Flash playerPlugin by wpburn.com wordpress themes
This site is protected by WP-CopyRightPro